In Sunday’s Bet Smart, we examined the logistics and psychology of the Heisman Trophy race and decided it’s too early to invest in 15/2 favorite Spencer Rattler of Oklahoma. Here’s a have a look at the opposite favorites and one longer shot who’s price a wager this summer season. Odds from BetMGM.
D.J. Uiagalelei (11/1)
Much of the narrative about Rattler applies to the brand new Clemson QB, even right down to his title, which these within the media will doubtless get pleasure from saying repeatedly. With no accidents, the Uiagalelei marketing campaign will encounter restricted impediments this season … however that doesn’t imply it’s best to bounce on any preseason bets.
One quantity is regarding in relation to his Heisman possibilities, and that’s -900, the chances BetMGM posted for the Tigers to win the ACC. So it once more seems Clemson will roll by means of the convention, run up scores, then sub out the quarterback throughout blowouts.
It’s one motive Trevor Lawrence’s Heisman possibilities have been tempered despite the fact that the media narrative supported him being the perfect participant in school soccer.
Looking at Clemson’s schedule, the opening sport in opposition to Georgia ought to create some juice to his marketing campaign. Then comes a mediocre ACC schedule.
Bryce Young (10/1)
Young takes over at quarterback for the Crimson Tide and is already a prime candidate after enjoying a restricted function final 12 months.
I’m involved with Alabama fatigue for voters after final 12 months, and Young’s present odds gained’t assuage these emotions. Other Alabama gamers are making a Heisman hopeful crowd in Tuscaloosa: Jase McClellan (50/1), Brian Robinson Jr. (50/1) and John Metchie III (80/1).
A extra prudent method right now is to remove the subjectivity and put a few of your school soccer bankroll on the complete staff at 5/2 to win the nationwide championship. This ticket will function a security internet all season and assist purchase a while to see who on this group is price a play individually.
So analyzing the large three: Rattler, Uiagalelei and Young should not have any drawback piling up media consideration and wins. The concern enjoying them is the chances simply aren’t substantial sufficient for a preseason Heisman wager. That means look down the board for worth.
Breece Hall (40/1)
Hall deserves summer season motion. Expect quite a few media shops to tackle the angle of Iowa State being “the next big thing” throughout the early phases of the season.
Even although Iowa State isn’t a traditional dwelling to a Heisman candidate, the working again had essentially the most 2020 votes of any returning participant. That fairness makes a pleasant companion to those odds.
The season opener in opposition to Northern Iowa ought to instantly place Hall within the trending-up class. Then comes a house sport in opposition to Iowa, so loads of nationally acknowledged school soccer consultants and insiders ought to be heading to Ames. Any Hall guess must be positioned earlier than the manufacturing crews attain city and eat their first breaded pork tenderloin sandwiches.
An incredible outing by Hall in opposition to the Hawkeyes on Sept. 11 will considerably scale back the present odds. If Iowa defensive coordinator Phil Parker prevents this from occurring, it gained’t derail Hall’s candidacy. High-profile Big 12 video games in late October by means of mid-November may reignite Hall’s possibilities.
If you are going to put one Heisman guess at this juncture, contemplate Hall primarily based on his output final 12 months, the rising curiosity in Iowa State and the potential payday down the road.