Chirag Paswan, the son of Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) founder Ram Vilas Paswan, is all set to embark on ‘Aashirwad Yatra’ in Bihar from July 5. This comes in the backdrop of a large political turmoil in the LJP.
The yatra assume significance as July 5 occurs to be delivery anniversary of Ram Vilas Paswan. It will not be solely a possibility for Chirag Paswan to take a look at the political waters and gauge the bottom assist that he enjoys in the absence of Ram Vilas Paswan but in addition an opportunity for him to ship out a message that he’s the true heir of his father’s political legacy.
However, simply two weeks earlier than this yatra, RJD chief Tejashwi Yadav created a flutter in Bihar politics by inviting Chirag Paswan to join hands with Mahagathbandhan, the alliance of Opposition events.
Earlier when Chirag Paswan confronted revolt from his uncle Pashupati Paras, some RJD leaders suggested Chirag Paswan to join hands with Tejaswhi Yadav to strengthen his political energy in Bihar politics.
Tejashwi Yadav has now come out in the open providing olive department to Chirag Paswan. This has triggered a debate in the political circle over significance of Chirag Paswan and why he may very well be essential for Tejashwi Yadav for future Bihar politics.
Six per cent Paswan vote financial institution
Though the battle for management over the LJP could also be happening in the Election Commission, the notion on the bottom seems to be in assist of Chirag Paswan. He had single-handedly led his get together in 2020 Bihar Assembly election.
The LJP received only one seat however the get together acquired shut to 26 lakh votes in the polls — six per cent of polled votes. The LJP got here second on 9 seats.
Aashirwad Yatra for Chirag Paswan will probably be an opportunity to journey throughout the size and breadth of Bihar and consolidate his Dalit vote financial institution, particularly of Paswans (6 per cent). Ram Vilas Paswan at all times remained a key participant in state politics on the idea of 6 per cent Paswan vote financial institution that he commanded.
Tejashwi Yadav realises that Chirag is the true heir of Ram Vilas Paswan’s political legacy. Like Tejashwi Yadav, Chirag Paswan was additionally a crowd puller in the final meeting election.
The meeting election was a case in level the place Chirag Paswan’s LJP broken the Janata Dal-United (JD-U) immensely. Even the JDU held the LJP answerable for its tally of simply 43 seats.
“There is a general perception on the ground that Chirag is the true inheritor of Ram Vilas Paswan’s legacy. The yatra beginning on July 5 will be crucial for him. Tejashwi knows that Paswan vote bank is in support of Chirag and like him, Chirag was also a crowd puller in last elections. But will Chirag be able to sustain his connect with Bihar or become a hide-and-seek politician is a big question,” mentioned Abhay Mohan Jha, political commentator
Tejashwi Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan gave a troublesome battle to the NDA in 2020 Bihar Assembly polls. The election additionally confirmed that Muslim and Yadav voters stood solidly in assist of the RJD.
If Chirag Paswan switches sides and joins the Mahagathbandhan, it is going to strengthen the Opposition in Bihar forward of 2024 Lok Sabha polls.
Additionally, the Mahagathbandhan will change into stronger with Paswans (6 per cent) including to Muslim (17 per cent) and Yadav (16 per cent) voters coming behind the alliance.
The Mahagathbandhan, with 39 per cent vote financial institution, may very well be in a place to return to energy in Bihar and uproot the NDA.
Dalit vote financial institution consolidation
Chirag Paswan’s father Ram Vilas Paswan constructed a fame of being a Dalit chief in Bihar, not restricted to simply six per cent Paswan vote-bank.
Chirag Paswan goals to inherit that declare because the next-gen Dalit chief. Dalits kind 16 per cent of the voters in Bihar. If Chirag Paswan succeeds in mobilising all the Dalit vote financial institution in alliance with the Mahagathbandhan, it could assist Tejashwi’s RJD immensely in Bihar.
In Bihar, the JD-U and the CPI(ML) are different claimants of Dalit votes. The BJP too has been banking on assist from OBCs and Dalits for increasing their vote base in Bihar.
However, with CPI(ML) already in the Mahagathbandhan since 2020 polls with 12 legislators, Chirag Paswan’s entry into the Opposition camp could make additional dent into the JD-U and the BJP’s vote financial institution. It will probably be benefit Mahagathbandhan.
GenX for 2025 Bihar election
Political consultants imagine each Chirag Paswan and Tejashwi Yadav are younger leaders and each realise the truth that this may very well be the final time period for Nitish Kumar as chief minister and that 2025 polls may very well be an election of the younger weapons.
What irks Tejashwi Yadav essentially the most is the distinction of votes between the NDA and the Mahagathbandhan in the final election. It was nearly 12,000.
If Chirag Paswan ‘sheds’ his ego and accepts Tejashwi Yadav because the chief of Opposition in Bihar, leaders belonging to the Congress and different allies have finished, the 2 younger leaders might upset the BJP-led NDA’s calculations in Bihar each in 2024 Lok Sabha polls and the meeting election in 2025.
“Chirag and Tejaswi should come together for the future of Bihar. Chirag should help him to become CM and he should take care of national politics in Delhi,” mentioned Bhai Birendra, RJD MLA
According to sources, each leaders share related sentiments that their first goal is to dislodge the NDA from seat of energy in Bihar because the older brigade is already in their twilight in politics.
Meanwhile, the BJP too is nurturing its next-generation leaders to tackle the younger Opposition brigade. This contains state BJP president Sanjay Jaiswal, Bihar minister Nitin Navin and BJP MLC Sanjay Paswan’s son Guru Prakash Paswan who’s at present the nationwide spokesperson of the get together.
Common political rival — Nitish Kumar
There is a basic notion in political circle that the break up which occurred in the LJP was engineered by Nitish Kumar. Chirag Paswan additionally reportedly will not be fascinated by the BJP anymore and after the political turmoil in his get together had lately commented that the saffron get together deserted him.
In such a situation, Tejashwi Yadav would love Chirag Paswan to join hands with him and tackle their widespread enemy Nitish Kumar collectively.