MLB bettors sure to cash in with one-sided pitching matchups

While most sports activities bettors and followers have been glued to final Thursday’s broadcast of the NFL draft, I attended my first Major League Baseball sport in almost two years. It felt nice to be again on the ballpark. It felt even higher to rating a serious underdog winner with the Brewers, who took down the Dodgers in a battle of two of the NL’s greatest groups. The end result appeared unbelievable to the Average Joe, as Milwaukee performed as a +185 house underdog with supervisor Craig Counsell late in the day naming a little-known pitcher to oppose reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer.

Counsell’s determination is strictly what steered me the Brewers’ method, nevertheless. The pitcher named to begin the competition was Eric Lauer, often known as a Dodger killer. He was at all times great towards Los Angeles whereas he pitched for the Padres. In reality, his document and key stats towards the defending World Series champions high the accompanying pitcher-vs.-opponent matchup record. In true Lauer style, he managed the damaging Dodgers lineup, holding it scoreless for 5 innings earlier than turning it over to the proficient Milwaukee bullpen. The Brewers gained 2-1, and it was a fantastic validation of how placing in work can lead to betting earnings.

You see, I remembered on the way in which to the sport that Lauer had appeared on my high pitcher-vs.-opponent matchups in the previous, and clearly Counsell put a whole lot of inventory into this data himself as he searched his roster for a starter that evening. It proved an important transfer because the Brewers gained what would have appeared a throwaway sport, setting the desk for 3 straight wins over the Dodgers.

The ethical of this story is that how pitchers fare towards sure opponents is certainly an essential a part of handicapping baseball. In the primary of this two-part report, I’ll undergo pitcher-opponent matchups that lately have produced not less than a one hundred pc return on funding for bettors, every with a minimal of 5 begins towards that workforce. Next week I’ll share a few of the worst matchups.

I’ve additionally listed potential schedule spots the place you would possibly give you the chance to make the most of the findings earlier than the season will get too far alongside. Be sure to mark your betting calendars, as a few of the matchups begin this week and others lengthen into October.

Eric Lauer (Milwaukee):

Last eight begins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Team Record: 7-1, +10.6 models, ROI 132.5%

Individual Record: 6-0, 47 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.89, WHIP 1.049, Ok’s/9 8.68

Team Run Support: 3.6 RPG

Schedule Spots: Oct. 1-3

Tyler Glasnow
Tyler Glasnow
AP

Tyler Glasnow (Tampa Bay):

Last 5 begins vs. New York Yankees

Team Record: 5-0, +6.45 models, ROI 129.0%

Individual Record: 3-0, 24 innings

Key Stats: ERA 2.63, WHIP 0.917, Ok’s/9 13.5

Team Run Support: 4.8 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 11-13, May 31-June 3, July 27-29, Oct. 1-3

Sandy Alcantara (Miami):

Last six begins vs. Philadelphia

Team Record: 5-1, +7.35 models, ROI 122.5%

Individual Record: 4-1, 38 ¹/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 2.82, WHIP 1.382, Ok’s/9 7.98

Team Run Support: 3.5 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 18-20, May 24-27, June 29-July 1, July 16-18, Sept. 3-5, Oct. 1-3

Taijuan Walker (Mets):

Last seven begins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Team Record: 6-1, +8.57 models, ROI 122.4%

Individual Record: 3-1, 31 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 4.83, WHIP 1.452, Ok’s/9 9.66

Team Run Support: 6.7 RPG

Schedule Spots: Aug. 13-15, Aug. 19-22

Madison Bumgarner
Madison Bumgarner
AP

Madison Bumgarner (Arizona):

Last six begins vs. New York Mets

Team Record: 6-0, +6.9 models, ROI 115.0%

Individual Record: 4-0, 43 innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.88, WHIP 1.00, Ok’s/9 7.95

Team Run Support: 5.7 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 7-9, May 31-June 2

Jon Lester (Washington):

Last six begins vs. New York Mets

Team Record: 6-0, +6.9 models, ROI 115.0%

Individual Record: 5-0, 39 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.81, WHIP 1.109, Ok’s/9 7.26

Team Run Support: 8.2 RPG

Schedule Spots: June 18-20, Aug. 10-12, Aug. 27-29, Sept. 3-6

Kyle Hendricks (Cubs):

Last 5 begins vs. Washington

Team Record: 5-0, +5.4 models, ROI 108.0%

Individual Record: 2-0, 27 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 3.58, WHIP 1.337, Ok’s/9 9.11

Team Run Support: 5.4 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 17-20, July 30-Aug. 1

Stephen Strasburg (Washington):

Last 9 begins vs. Philadelphia

Team Record: 9-0, +9.45 models, ROI 105.0%

Individual Record: 6-0, 53 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 2.85, WHIP 1.155, Ok’s/9 10.23

Team Run Support: 5.3 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 11-13, July 4-6, July 22-23, July 27-29, Aug. 2-5, Aug. 30-Sept. 1

Walker Buehler (Dodgers):

Last 5 begins vs. San Francisco

Team Record: 5-0, +5 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 4-0, 28 innings

Key Stats: ERA 2.89, WHIP 1.214, Ok’s/9 11.25

Team Run Support: 8.2 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 21-23, May 27-30, July 19-22, July 27-29, Sept. 3-5

Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
Getty Images

Gerrit Cole (Yankees):

Last 5 begins vs. Detroit

Team Record: 5-0, +5 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 5-0, 31 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.71, WHIP 0.884, Ok’s/9 13.64

Team Run Support: 7.4 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 28-30

Gerrit Cole (Yankees)

Last six begins vs. Los Angeles Angels

Team Record: 6-0, +6 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 5-0, 36 ²/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 2.45, WHIP 1.118, Ok’s/9 14.24

Team Run Support: 7.2 RPG

Schedule Spots: June 28-July 1, Aug. 30-Sept. 1

Domingo German (Yankees):

Last 5 begins vs. Baltimore

Team Record: 5-0, +5 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 5-0, 32 innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.97, WHIP 0.844, Ok’s/9 8.16

Team Run Support: 8.8 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 14-16, Aug. 2-4, Sept. 3-5, Sept. 14-16

J.A. Happ (Minnesota):

Last six begins vs. Baltimore

Team Record: 6-0, +6 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 2-0, 27 ¹/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 5.93, WHIP 1.537, Ok’s/9 7.9

Team Run Support: 6.3 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 24-26, May 31-June 2

Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers):

Last seven begins vs. Mets

Team Record: 7-0, +7 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 5-0, 45 ¹/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 3.18, WHIP 0.949, Ok’s/9 10.92

Team Run Support: 6.9 RPG

Schedule Spots: Aug. 13-15, Aug. 19-22

Clayton Kershaw
Clayton Kershaw
Getty Images

Corey Kluber (Yankees):

Last seven begins vs. Detroit

Team Record: 7-0, +7 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 7-0, 54 ¹/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 0.83, WHIP 0.699, Ok’s/9 9.77

Team Run Support: 5.1 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 28-30

Aaron Nola (Philadelphia):

Last 5 begins vs. Colorado

Team Record: 5-0, +5 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 4-0, 32 ¹/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 3.06, WHIP 1.175, Ok’s/9 11.69

Team Run Support: 5 RPG

Schedule Spots: Sept. 9-12

Max Scherzer (Washington):

Last 5 begins vs. Cincinnati

Team Record: 5-0, +5 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 5-0, 34 innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.06, WHIP 0.824, Ok’s/9 14.56

Team Run Support: 6.2 RPG

Schedule Spots: May 25-27, Sept. 23-26

Stephen Strasburg (Washington):

Last 15 begins vs. Miami

Team Record: 15-0, +15 models, ROI 100.0%

Individual Record: 12-0, 99 ¹/₃ innings

Key Stats: ERA 1.54, WHIP 0.886, Ok’s/9 11.05

Team Run Support: 6.1 RPG

Schedule Spots: June 24-27, July 19-21, Aug. 24-26, Sept. 13-15, Sept. 20-22

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