Phil Mickelson’s US Open odds: Bookies, bettors don’t agree

LAS VEGAS — It has been a outstanding 12 months within the golf world, although 2021 is simply 5½ months previous. The most memorable moments stretch from Tiger Woods to Hideki Matsuyama to Phil Mickelson to Jon Rahm.

Woods’ high-speed automobile crash on Feb. 23 in Los Angeles resulted in career-threatening leg accidents. The shock from that incident was the speak of the game till April, when Matsuyama turned the primary Japanese participant to win the Masters.

From a betting perspective, can something prime Mickelson’s gorgeous win on the PGA Championship in May? Written off by most as a significant contender at age 50, Mickelson surprised a area of youthful weapons to money at odds as excessive as 300/1.

Mickelson might prime it by profitable the U.S. Open this week at Torrey Pines. Playing in his yard in San Diego, Mickelson is searching for the one main title that has eluded him. He’s a six-time main champion with six runner-up finishes on this occasion.

SuperBook Sports golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman will not be swept up within the sentimental storyline, saying, “Phil’s not winning two majors in a row. I’m certainly not betting on Mickelson. It’s so hard for these guys to win back-to-back majors, even if a player’s in really good form.”

Nevertheless, public wagering help for Mickelson, who’s getting 50/1 odds at BetMGM, stays robust. The U.S. Open favourite at 10/1 is Rahm, who’s one other distinctive story.

US Open Phil Mickelson
Phil Mickelson throughout a US Open observe spherical on June 14, 2021.
Getty Images

On June 5, Rahm led the Memorial in Ohio by six strokes after a third-round 64. After strolling off the 18th inexperienced, he was pressured to withdraw from the event due to a optimistic COVID-19 check. Rahm is now out of quarantine and en path to Torrey Pines, the place he gained the Farmers Insurance Open in 2017 for his first PGA Tour victory.

“Regardless of what happened [in Ohio], Rahm is the starting point this week,” Sherman stated. “The biggest thing is nobody else is really standing out.”

Recent main winners Dustin Johnson (14/1) and Bryson DeChambeau (18/1) comply with Rahm on the percentages board. Johnson, slumping since his Masters win in November, claimed the U.S. Open title in 2016. DeChambeau was a runaway winner by six strokes final 12 months at Winged Foot.

The U.S. Open was final staged at Torrey Pines in 2008, when Woods prevailed in a dramatic playoff. Here are 5 gamers who might comply with in Tiger’s footprints (BetMGM odds):

Brooks Koepka (18/1)

The Brooks-Bryson rivalry could have every participant fired up for this stage. Koepka, the back-to-back U.S. Open champ in 2017-18, began Sunday on the PGA with a John Wayne-like swagger however limped in because the bridesmaid to Mickelson. He’s obtained one thing to show and thrives on tough USGA setups.

“There are three guarantees in life: Death, taxes, and me betting on Koepka in a major,” Indianapolis-based golf handicapper Jeff Sealey stated. “If you look at strokes gained over the past 20 majors, Koepka absolutely crushes the field. He is in the conversation nearly every Sunday in a major. Koepka grades out No. 4 overall in my math model.”

Xander Schauffele (18/1)

Torrey Pines is a house recreation for Mickelson and Schauffele, who grew up 15 miles from the course and starred at San Diego State. He tied for second on the Farmers Insurance Open in January. Schauffele has top-10 finishes in eight of his 16 profession main begins. His worst end in 4 U.S. Opens is sixth.

“Schauffele fits the mold of what we have seen in recent major winners — young, never won a major before, a Top 25 player in the world, and has finished Top 10 in the event,” VSiN golf handicapper Brady Kannon stated.

Collin Morikawa (22/1)

Avoiding the tough shall be a key at Torrey Pines, and accuracy is the 2020 PGA winner’s calling card. He ranks first on the PGA Tour in greens-in-regulation share (71.8) and strokes gained tee-to-green (1.96). His iron play is nearly as good because it will get.

“The No. 1 player in my model this week is Morikawa,” Sealey stated. “In terms of form, Morikawa has it. He has six Top 10s, including a win, in his last 10 tournaments. Morikawa won a major in California 10 months ago and if he can just match the field in putting, this may well be his second major.”

Jason Kokrak (66/1)

A bomber off the tee and a vastly improved putter, Kokrak delivered a breakthrough win on the Charles Schwab Challenge in Texas on May 30.

“If you’re looking for a long shot to win, take a look at Kokrak,” Sealey stated. “Kokrak’s ball striking is Top 25 on tour, and he ranks inside the Top 50 in putting on tour over his last 100 rounds.”

Charley Hoffman (80/1)

Another San Diego native, Hoffman has performed the Farmers Insurance Open 22 occasions. He has seven U.S. Open begins, lacking the lower solely as soon as.

“This season may be the best he’s put together in his career, with five Top 10 finishes, including a second and a third,” Kannon stated. “He’s made 12 cuts in a row and the streak began with a seventh at Pebble Beach, another coastal California golf course that features Poa Annua putting surfaces.”

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