At the top of a disastrous highway journey, a tailspin by three cities, Dodgers supervisor Dave Roberts placed on a daring face and predicted to reporters Sunday that his workforce “no doubt” will end on high of the National League West.
Roberts is true to not sing the blues, even when he’s incorrect ultimately. When the narrative turns damaging, a pacesetter’s job is to remain optimistic. Still, the reality is the Dodgers’ current hunch has created a number of doubts concerning the reigning World Series champions.
“I think the Dodgers are a big disappointment, not only because of the expectations but also because of the way they started the season,” mentioned VSiN oddsmaker Vinny Magliulo, a veteran Las Vegas bookmaker.
There can be reality in clichés — it’s an extended season, and it’s no time to panic — however greater than a month into the baseball season the Dodgers and Yankees, the American League favorites, are every removed from dominant and struggling to remain above .500.
Hold the Hollywood script on a Los Angeles-New York showdown within the World Series.
The Dodgers’ slide has been extra expensive to bettors who have been using a sizzling workforce out of the gate. The Dodgers opened the season 13-2 to spark reminiscences of the 1984 Detroit Tigers, who began 9-0 and topped out at 35-5 after 40 video games.
“When teams go on streaks, people love to play them every night,” DraftKings sportsbook director John Avello mentioned. “We know how baseball gets bet. At first, people were betting the Dodgers during that hot start.”
On the current journey by Milwaukee, Chicago and Anaheim, the Dodgers misplaced eight of 10. A 5-15 mark of their previous 20 video games has left the Dodgers at 18-17 and in third place within the division.
In final yr’s pandemic-shortened season, the Dodgers completed 43-17 — a 71.7 profitable share that will undertaking to 116 wins in 162 video games. Oddsmakers opened the Dodgers’ win whole for this season at 104, a quantity they already appear unlikely to surpass.
Injuries are one excuse. Cody Bellinger, the NL MVP in 2019, has been out since early April with a fractured left fibula and the outfielder may not return till June. Dustin May, a rising star within the pitching rotation, wants Tommy John surgical procedure and is misplaced for the season.
An offense that averaged 5.8 runs in 2020 has tailed off to 4.9 per recreation this season, when the Dodgers have misplaced a serious league-high 10 video games by one run.
The Dodgers have been favorites in 34 of 35 video games — they closed as small underdogs in a 3-1 loss to the Brewers on April 30 — and have misplaced 5 instances as favorites of -200 or extra.
“It could take 60 games before some teams get on track,” Magliulo mentioned. “The expectation is the Dodgers will turn things around.”
The Dodgers should remedy shortcomings within the bullpen however their high 4 starters — Clayton Kershaw, Trevor Bauer, Walker Buehler and Julio Urias — mix to rank amongst baseball’s finest. The time to begin a turnaround may very well be now as LA opens a nine-game homestand towards Seattle, Miami and Arizona.
Meanwhile, the Giants (20-14) and Padres (19-16) lead the West. The Dodgers are 3-4 towards San Diego and have but to play San Francisco.
“I doubt the Giants can continue a season like this,” Avello mentioned. “It will end up being a two-team race with the Dodgers and Padres.”
The Yankees, at the moment -125 favorites to win the AL East after opening -175 at BetMGM, didn’t anticipate to be chasing the Red Sox within the division race. Boston (22-13) is on tempo to fly over its preseason win whole of solely 79. The Yankees, 18-16 after a 5-10 begin, had a win whole of 95.
“The Red Sox are the biggest surprise in the league,” Magliulo mentioned. “The Yankees are either feast or famine at the plate, but it’s a team capable of going on a run.”
Yankees shortstop Gleyber Torres has one dwelling run in 120 at-bats, and first baseman Luke Voit, final yr’s MLB dwelling run chief, is about to debut this week after offseason knee surgical procedure.
“I think the Yankees have got a few issues, and the bats have not really started to come around yet,” Avello mentioned. “But I would think when it’s all said and done, the Yankees will finish 20 games over .500. Are they good enough to win it all? I don’t know.”
Oddsmakers are effectively conscious it’s an extended season and it’s no time to panic, so the highest two groups on BetMGM’s World Series odds board stay the Dodgers (+325) and Yankees (7/1).
“You don’t get too crazy,” Avello mentioned. “You make some adjustments, but there’s no reason to move odds on many teams in the first 30 games of the year.”